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China & Geopolitics

To Iran, America is still a paper tiger

Trump, like past presidents, balks at putting boots on the ground.

By Lawrence Solomon, published by Visegrad24

For the original version of this commentary, see the publisher’s website here.

The Iranian regime has good reason to string out peace negotiations with the United States. Despite U.S. rhetoric of “peace through strength” and bluster that time is on America’s side, Iranians know that Americans have no stomach for protracted wars, that American patience wears thin without quick victories, and that domestic politics will eventually compel Washington to settle for half-measures. To the IRGC and the mullahs in Tehran, Trump’s maximalist threats are just theater; his focus on quickly ending the war through negotiations reads as desperation.

Summary

Historical lessons echo loudly: the hasty U.S. withdrawal from Lebanon after the devastating 1983 Hezbollah bombings and the ignominious retreat from Somalia following the “Black Hawk Down Incident” have solidified this belief among Iranian leaders and jihadists alike. They see a pattern where U.S. responses—whether sanctions or airstrikes—fail to deliver the decisive ground presence needed to impose real consequences on Tehran. Even Donald Trump, who has lambasted NATO for its ineffectiveness, has shied away from deploying troops, favoring negotiations and limited strikes instead. This trend continues in the ongoing standoff over Iran’s nuclear ambitions, with Iran’s strategy of stalling the tactic with teeth.

Continue to the publisher’s website here.


Lawrence Solomon is a founding columnist at the Financial Post, a columnist at The Epoch Times, and a past columnist for the Globe and MailThe Deniers, a #1 environmental best seller on global warming, was deemed one of the “10 Books That Drive The Debate” by the US National Chamber of Commerce.

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